In Iowa, the Quinnipac poll shows that Trump is leading Texas Sen. Cruz 31-24. And that Sen. Sanders is following close behind Hillary Clinton 49-46. Even though these numbers are close together the poll also has favor in both Trump and Sen. Sanders. Because of both candidates being first time Caucus attenders they seem to be winning the majority of the votes from people who themselves have never been to Caucus before. The poll for the new comers show Trump beating Cruz 40-22, and Sanders beating Clinton 62-35, but will the new comers vote be enough?
A good indicator on the new comers turn up can be seen in the record breaking Caucus for 2012 with 121,000 republicans. The biggest its been since 1968. And in 2008, the last competitive Democratic Caucus with 240,000 turn outs. This will also be a big battle for Clinton, because Sen. Sanders is already leading in New Hampshire, which is the next stop for the presidential candidates.
After watching the Iowa Caucus all night the outcome stands as 28% Cruz, 24% Trump, and 23% Rubio for the Republican political party. The democratic vote stands 49.9% Clinton, 49.6% Sanders, and .5% O'Malley. The following results caused for democratic party member O'Malley, and Republican party member Huckabee to drop of out the race that night a couple hours after the polls opened. With Trump losing by 4% to Sen. Cruz, and holding a narrow lead over Sen. Rubio of only 1%, he looks toward New Hampshire where already is very popular among the Evangelicals. Even though Cruz won the Evangelical vote in Iowa the polls turn to Trump in New Hampshire.
Following Sen. Rubio in the polls Dr. Ben Carson follows with 9%, Rand Paul 4.5%, Jeb Bush 2.8, Carly Fiorina 1.9%, John Kasich 1.9%, Mike Huckabee 1.8, Chris Christie 1.8, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%. On Wednesday, February 3rd Rick Santorum also dropped out of the race and almost immediately announced he was going to endorse Sen. Rubio. With this new surge for Sen. Rubio he looks like more of a force in this 2016 election.
This blog reflects what we are learning in AP Gov and Politics, because our main focus in the class right now is on the Presidential election. We are also learning how the political parties, both Republican and Democrat, work, an which side we fall on either being Republican or Democrat.
My Citations for this blog is:
www.foxnews.com
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2016/presidential-election-headquarters?intcmp=subnav
and CNN Live television, because I got some of my information throughout watching the Iowa Caucus
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